PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7eb553adF89d6f30eFDAdc6DB68E925dfDF321A7-1764672391572

0x6a8673d81282e26023c5b9130f17a6d7ccba8a9a

Realised P&L
$-834.96
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$845.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3310.305$276.76$23.24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1870.165$141.17$18.83
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.0900.045$100.00$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0800.065$81.25$18.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2700.205$75.93$24.07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$72.22$27.78
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2760.145$52.62$47.38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$45.83$54.17
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · No0.2700.000$0.00$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$100.00
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4070.000$0.00$100.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 20:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
08-19 20:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1799999987$100.00
08-19 20:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.08$100.00
07-19 10:20Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4075000017$100.00
07-13 18:28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$60.00
07-02 20:51Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.119999999$100.00
07-02 20:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899999992$100.00
07-02 20:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0349877543$100.00
06-20 19:18JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.0899999996$200.00
06-13 11:51Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.1$100.00
06-08 20:35Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4521767468$100.00
06-07 20:21Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.2755479696$100.00
06-07 20:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0486450029$100.00
06-05 20:53Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3306104426$300.00
05-28 20:11US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.25$100.00