MattAsp
0x69f8ded34e8144556674db06b3bb86fe6f661392
- Realised P&L
- $47.14
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $142.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.543 | $121.03 | +$108.13 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $10.00 | −$23.32 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.037 | $6.17 | −$8.83 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $5.65 | −$1.35 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-18.68at 0.455Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 10:55 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 09-06 10:49 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 10:46 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5522075055 | $20.01 |
| 08-30 06:58 | Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? | SELL | 0.0689690293 | $3.32 |
| 05-26 20:47 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $33.32 |
| 04-25 17:36 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0579317805 | $15.00 |
| 04-25 17:36 | Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? | BUY | 0.4058242605 | $19.05 |
| 04-12 16:43 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.1699999955 | $30.00 |