0x9C5B2E091E4390d7b46666a74deaf13749AC42aF-1765004767321
0x69e4d302c540b58ab6fd0a255b3df7381302f450
- Realised P&L
- $30.92
- Volume
- $481.35
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $103.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.58at 0.135Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-10.00at 0.610Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 12:26 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 11:36 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.2894211555 | $25.00 |
| 10-26 11:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 17:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.5999999758 | $4.96 |
| 10-12 17:56 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:54 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:53 | Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:39 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:09 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 16:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |