0x69e2d5EAE6cFdacE90eb45A78561223a67E16208-1762885373006
0x69e2d5eae6cfdace90eb45a78561223a67e16208
- Realised P&L
- $-695.73
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $369.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$556.56at 0.210UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$331.17at 0.408Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
- +$325.34at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$144.21at 0.361Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$123.48at 0.612Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 22:00 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0081003449 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 21:53 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1989999991 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 21:53 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.195733978 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 21:48 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289948453 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 21:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 21:41 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999999 | $40.00 |
| 09-04 16:39 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $25.00 |
| 08-16 03:53 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $230.00 |
| 08-16 03:43 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.269999997 | $56.00 |
| 08-16 02:49 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3599999958 | $38.00 |
| 08-16 02:22 | UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5299999956 | $55.00 |
| 08-16 01:55 | UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.16 | $18.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $429.59 |
| 07-19 21:53 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0696161125 | $107.49 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0979999984 | $50.00 |