alex421
0x69dcf8fc254c9acff196aa047f02b4888fca0cf5
- Realised P&L
- $416.73
- Volume
- $659.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,149
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,149
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.530Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)
- +$1.2kat 0.227Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?
- +$909.73at 0.614Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$693.08at 0.505Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
- +$589.00at 0.620Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:48 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.91 | $200.41 |
| 09-19 15:01 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.93 | $47.97 |
| 09-19 14:55 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.98 | $193.52 |
| 09-19 14:55 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.98 | $103.33 |
| 09-19 14:47 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.83 | $19.71 |
| 09-19 14:38 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.52 | $6.49 |
| 09-19 14:38 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.52 | $6.43 |
| 09-19 14:38 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.52 | $3.31 |
| 09-19 14:37 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.53 | $31.11 |
| 09-19 14:36 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-19 14:36 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.66 | $11.88 |
| 09-19 14:34 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.84 | $60.22 |
| 09-19 14:33 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.82 | $61.69 |
| 09-19 14:33 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.77 | $22.66 |
| 09-19 14:29 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.83 | $19.83 |