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Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alex421

0x69dcf8fc254c9acff196aa047f02b4888fca0cf5

Realised P&L
$416.73
Volume
$659.4k
Markets traded
3,149
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,149
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9200.961$960.50+$40.50
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9500.987$649.15+$24.18
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.910$270.10+$65.30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner · LGD Gaming0.9101.000$244.59+$21.90
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2100.750$240.43+$173.11
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7500.425$139.80$106.91
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · No0.9500.986$68.36+$2.46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · No0.0600.125$46.77+$24.32
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · No0.6600.968$10.16+$3.23
Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3900.615$8.75+$3.20
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7990.681$6.74$1.17
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2510.365$4.97+$1.55
3Jane FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.210$2.00$3.04
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1750.087$1.67$1.69
SlingshotDAO FDV above $8M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.575$1.25$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 15:48Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.91$200.41
09-19 15:01Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.93$47.97
09-19 14:55Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.98$193.52
09-19 14:55Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.98$103.33
09-19 14:47Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.83$19.71
09-19 14:38Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.52$6.49
09-19 14:38Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.52$6.43
09-19 14:38Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.52$3.31
09-19 14:37Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.53$31.11
09-19 14:36Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.66$3.30
09-19 14:36Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.66$11.88
09-19 14:34Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.84$60.22
09-19 14:33Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.82$61.69
09-19 14:33Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.77$22.66
09-19 14:29Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.83$19.83