tsekinming01
0x69aa9fa621403e3a121b29ad77d32ba9eb5e8847
- Realised P&L
- $-111.9k
- Volume
- $59.17M
- Markets traded
- 1,064
- Open portfolio
- $51.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,064
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No | 0.992 | 0.993 | $23.8k | +$31.72 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No | 0.985 | 0.991 | $20.0k | +$120.88 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.978 | $7.8k | +$15.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.4kat 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 13?
- +$27.6kat 0.731Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
- +$18.4kat 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 24?
- +$14.2kat 0.728Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?
- +$13.5kat 0.966Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:33 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.978712895 | $5.9k |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $547.58 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $211.30 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.6k |
| 09-17 03:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $1.7k |
| 09-17 02:39 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $98.98 |
| 09-16 23:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.991 | $6.5k |
| 09-16 21:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.8k |
| 09-16 21:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $584.13 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $63.2k |
| 09-16 17:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $28.3k |
| 09-13 21:28 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.91 | $273.00 |
| 09-13 20:52 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-11 12:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.2k |
| 09-10 23:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.9731609794 | $6.7k |