banspcltvecnmy
0x6998b23b79d966f6b26feb22c619a21508e39ff2
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $670.7k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.655 | $3.9k | −$54.09 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.477 | 0.575 | $3.5k | +$598.64 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.681 | 0.705 | $1.6k | +$55.35 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.131 | $218.77 | +$61.77 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.080 | $4.32 | −$5.39 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.165 | $2.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.182 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$230.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.211Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$7.6kat 0.264Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$5.1kat 0.719Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$2.2kat 0.731Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$2.2kat 0.257Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 15:26 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999974 | $7.97 |
| 09-11 15:26 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.017 | $8.50 |
| 09-05 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $149.50 |
| 09-05 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $124.20 |
| 09-05 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $140.00 |
| 09-05 15:37 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $318.50 |
| 08-27 11:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999356 | $1.74 |
| 08-15 09:08 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $39.20 |
| 08-15 09:07 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0020511651 | $35.73 |
| 08-15 09:07 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $84.00 |
| 08-07 00:24 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 08-06 23:38 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $268.21 |
| 08-06 23:34 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $125.00 |
| 08-06 23:33 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 16:44 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.15 |