banspcltvecnmy
0x6998b23b79d966f6b26feb22c619a21508e39ff2
- Realised P&L
- $9.0k
- Volume
- $628.6k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.685 | $2.7k | −$9.86 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.473 | 0.475 | $2.6k | +$10.11 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $1.6k | −$12.58 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.083 | $138.30 | −$18.70 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $29.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.021 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.146 | $2.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.146 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.211Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$7.6kat 0.264Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$5.1kat 0.719Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$2.3kat 0.723Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$2.2kat 0.257Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:11 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6884685016 | $600.00 |
| 08-03 00:11 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6819857574 | $300.00 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.095999998 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0111349946 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 22:38 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.688350025 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0959999992 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6860193042 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 17:53 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6800952427 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 11:49 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.9k |
| 08-01 11:49 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.9644293527 | $2.7k |
| 08-01 11:44 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.9695211197 | $6.4k |
| 07-29 09:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.085 | $4.55 |
| 07-29 09:06 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.52 |
| 07-19 19:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6074998937 | $2.00 |