trader-6994e05f
0x6994e05f80b175ec761012b45db5f8fa164eeed0
- Realised P&L
- $50.19
- Volume
- $32.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,144
- Open portfolio
- $41.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.385 | $9.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.700 | $8.75 | −$0.25 |
| Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova · Magda Linette | 0.330 | 0.350 | $8.64 | +$0.49 |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) · Spurs | 0.470 | 0.425 | $8.13 | −$0.86 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.255 | $7.01 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.05at 0.440Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?
- +$70.91at 0.220Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
- +$69.61at 0.184LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$59.96at 0.250Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?
- +$55.85at 0.260Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:13 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.10 |
| 10-20 19:04 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.14 |
| 10-20 12:16 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.81 |
| 10-19 17:57 | Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 4 - 0 Al Hazem SC? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.93 |
| 10-17 23:41 | Spread: Browns (-3.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $9.00 |
| 10-16 22:46 | Will SC Recife win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.00 |
| 10-12 15:53 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.11 |
| 10-11 18:22 | Will FC Arouca win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.54 | $9.00 |
| 10-11 15:25 | Will Pogon Szczecin win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.57 | $8.99 |
| 10-10 19:15 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 10-10 11:15 | Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $9.00 |
| 10-09 15:55 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.00 |
| 10-09 00:48 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.93 |
| 10-08 23:25 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.32 |
| 10-08 22:05 | CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $8.82 |