0x6986e04925678409d783dd26c6c1813ff565ff74
0x6986e04925678409d783dd26c6c1813ff565ff74
- Realised P&L
- $11.01
- Volume
- $184.73
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $3.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.775 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.830 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.735 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:36 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:20 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:23 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:54 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:51 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:55 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:37 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:36 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:49 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:58 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |