ggmm82
0x69755c86064675bb6708d1af4a2c2d2b84b4b13b
- Realised P&L
- $-222.71
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $31.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.013 | $8.75 | +$3.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.245 | $7.35 | −$3.75 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.205 | $6.15 | −$1.95 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.225 | $4.50 | −$0.70 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.070 | $3.08 | −$4.40 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.061 | $1.54 | −$4.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.12at 0.206Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$56.95at 0.290Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$31.83at 0.280Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$27.61at 0.033Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
- +$15.04at 0.240U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:52 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.3697085498 | $15.65 |
| 10-10 15:14 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.48 |
| 10-10 15:12 | Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31? | SELL | 0.379105 | $7.58 |
| 10-08 08:29 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 10-08 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-08 08:27 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.2155829003 | $9.13 |
| 10-08 08:25 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.785 | $5.89 |
| 10-08 08:25 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.804 | $6.03 |
| 10-08 08:21 | Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-08 08:20 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 10-08 07:22 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-08 07:21 | Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | SELL | 0.45 | $13.32 |
| 10-06 07:44 | Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.25 |
| 10-06 07:41 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | SELL | 0.539 | $10.78 |
| 10-06 02:45 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1384999167 | $8.31 |