PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ggmm82

0x69755c86064675bb6708d1af4a2c2d2b84b4b13b

Realised P&L
$-222.71
Volume
$27.2k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$31.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0070.013$8.75+$3.75
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.3700.245$7.35−$3.75
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2700.205$6.15−$1.95
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.2600.225$4.50−$0.70
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.1700.070$3.08−$4.40
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.2500.061$1.54−$4.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:52Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.3697085498$15.65
10-10 15:14Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.17$7.48
10-10 15:12Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?SELL0.379105$7.58
10-08 08:29Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.25$6.25
10-08 08:27Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$6.80
10-08 08:27Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.2155829003$9.13
10-08 08:25Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.785$5.89
10-08 08:25Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.804$6.03
10-08 08:21Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?BUY0.19$3.80
10-08 08:20US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.27$8.10
10-08 07:22Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.44$8.80
10-08 07:21Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?SELL0.45$13.32
10-06 07:44Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?BUY0.38$11.25
10-06 07:41Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.539$10.78
10-06 02:45Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1384999167$8.31