VARIATIONALGENERATIONAL
0x696dd6623d19e9e55ce2f86d05db5b7bf9435b3a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.06
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $134.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.139 | $49.69 | −$3.44 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.057 | $46.69 | −$17.35 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.035 | $34.19 | −$17.41 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.276 | $4.33 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.48at 0.880Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$-1.58at 0.768Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:24 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $29.08 |
| 10-08 17:05 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7584496976 | $27.59 |
| 10-08 16:24 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $27.65 |
| 10-08 16:06 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $29.08 |
| 10-07 17:21 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8790771797 | $47.63 |
| 10-07 17:19 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 12:28 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7099999986 | $4.95 |
| 10-02 12:12 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.128 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 12:10 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3189999835 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 12:06 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:52 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.59 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.053003408 | $1.67 |
| 09-27 11:32 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.062 | $4.54 |
| 09-27 11:19 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.061 | $6.33 |
| 09-26 23:57 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.065 | $3.25 |