PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VARIATIONALGENERATIONAL

0x696dd6623d19e9e55ce2f86d05db5b7bf9435b3a

Realised P&L
$-2.06
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$134.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1490.139$49.69−$3.44
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0780.057$46.69−$17.35
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0530.035$34.19−$17.41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.3190.276$4.33−$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:24Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.88$29.08
10-08 17:05Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.7584496976$27.59
10-08 16:24Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.76$27.65
10-08 16:06Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.88$29.08
10-07 17:21Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8790771797$47.63
10-07 17:19Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.759999997$50.00
10-02 12:28Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7099999986$4.95
10-02 12:12Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.128$5.00
10-02 12:10Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.3189999835$5.00
10-02 12:06Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
10-01 06:52Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.053$1.59
09-30 20:08Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.053003408$1.67
09-27 11:32Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.062$4.54
09-27 11:19Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.061$6.33
09-26 23:57Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.065$3.25