Fafa13
0x69672d76dd8512c0bc961c7b3c41fe173d7184bf
- Realised P&L
- $-22.4k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.920Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$2.0kat 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$1.9kat 0.910Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$1.6kat 0.039Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$1.5kat 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9599999846 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 21:48 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.068 | $81.60 |
| 06-03 17:44 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.7k |
| 06-03 17:43 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.75 | $817.80 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9599999846 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |