PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

winelavkakz

0x6959d607aeac901f421b5001bc0028798e825575

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$235.9k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8800.915$2.1k+$79.61
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8870.915$915.00+$27.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.895$895.00+$5.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8470.865$519.00+$11.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7310.895$440.62+$80.85
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.8600.945$434.69+$39.10
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? · No0.6540.770$284.11+$42.70
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8940.967$120.88+$9.12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.9300.915$91.50−$1.50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3890.275$82.50−$34.15
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.2260.205$77.90−$8.10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.055$8.25−$33.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$810.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$115.00
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$15.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 18:25Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.2263157895$86.00
10-04 16:28Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.39$3.90
10-04 16:28Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.39$15.60
10-04 16:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.631312088$214.55
10-04 13:45Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3886$97.15
10-04 13:43Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.66$31.68
10-04 13:43Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.66$29.04
10-04 13:43Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.66$31.57
10-04 13:42Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.66$132.00
10-04 13:41Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6996774194$15.18
10-04 13:41Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
10-03 04:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$890.00
10-03 04:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.967$967.00
10-01 21:13Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.76$221.16
10-01 03:52Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.06$15.36