winelavkakz
0x6959d607aeac901f421b5001bc0028798e825575
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $235.9k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$401.22at 0.912Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$378.65at 0.874Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$367.93at 0.590Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$303.52at 0.936Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
- +$294.36at 0.681Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 18:25 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.2263157895 | $86.00 |
| 10-04 16:28 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-04 16:28 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 10-04 16:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.631312088 | $214.55 |
| 10-04 13:45 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3886 | $97.15 |
| 10-04 13:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $31.68 |
| 10-04 13:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $29.04 |
| 10-04 13:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $31.57 |
| 10-04 13:42 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 10-04 13:41 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6996774194 | $15.18 |
| 10-04 13:41 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-03 04:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 10-03 04:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $967.00 |
| 10-01 21:13 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $221.16 |
| 10-01 03:52 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.36 |