kyrillic
0x69485af5ae3a8cbc409af1e15d4cf6127a9c9b96
- Realised P&L
- $-389.70
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $699.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.07at 0.107Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
- +$-54.00at 0.540Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$-100.10at 0.550Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$-100.32at 0.380Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 15:41 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $36.32 |
| 01-18 08:23 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999806 | $35.00 |
| 01-14 18:15 | Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0823132849 | $19.93 |
| 01-14 18:14 | Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1073984751 | $26.00 |
| 01-11 21:32 | Ramp IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 01-11 21:31 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $15.40 |
| 01-11 21:30 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $50.82 |
| 01-11 15:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.534081 | $53.41 |
| 01-06 00:44 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $48.23 |
| 01-06 00:22 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $50.60 |
| 01-06 00:19 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $40.80 |
| 01-06 00:17 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 01-06 00:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $93.50 |
| 01-05 23:53 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.172 | $34.40 |
| 01-05 23:50 | OpenAI acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $11.96 |