PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kyrillic

0x69485af5ae3a8cbc409af1e15d4cf6127a9c9b96

Realised P&L
$-389.70
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$699.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6900.835$121.08+$21.02
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1600.178$112.45+$11.84
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5340.925$92.50+$39.09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.5480.455$90.45$18.60
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.5300.330$62.70$38.00
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.9200.905$49.77$0.82
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.6500.825$46.10+$9.78
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7700.945$42.95+$7.95
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9100.525$27.82$20.41
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3400.175$21.00$19.80
OpenAI acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0700.041$11.74$8.55
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1800.085$8.50$9.50
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1100.037$7.13$13.78
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6000.045$3.78$46.62
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3700.013$1.77$48.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-14 15:41Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.6499999946$36.32
01-18 08:23Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.7699999806$35.00
01-14 18:15Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?SELL0.0823132849$19.93
01-14 18:14Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?BUY0.1073984751$26.00
01-11 21:32Ramp IPO before 2027?BUY0.23$11.50
01-11 21:31AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.154$15.40
01-11 21:30AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.154$50.82
01-11 15:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.534081$53.41
01-06 00:44Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$48.23
01-06 00:22OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.92$50.60
01-06 00:19Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.34$40.80
01-06 00:17Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.54$54.00
01-06 00:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.55$93.50
01-05 23:53AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.172$34.40
01-05 23:50OpenAI acquired before 2027?BUY0.07$11.96