PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

d-m-l

0x6939e3d988d344531b91a15b8ff620a4c877e8c9

Realised P&L
$8.68
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
957
Open portfolio
$105.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded957
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15? · Yes0.5370.670$5.96+$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 16? · No0.8940.975$4.87+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 16? · No0.9000.945$4.72+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 16? · No0.9000.935$4.67+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 15? · No0.8600.920$4.60+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 16? · No0.8800.900$4.50+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 15? · No0.9090.891$4.46−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? · No0.8800.890$4.45+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15? · No0.8600.855$4.28−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15? · No0.6600.790$3.95+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15? · No0.8400.825$3.69−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 15? · No0.7200.665$3.33−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15? · No0.5700.635$3.17+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 15? · No0.6400.630$3.15−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15? · No0.7040.590$3.06−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 12:39Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?BUY0.54$2.70
10-09 12:39Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?BUY0.47$2.35
10-09 12:39Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?BUY0.46$2.30
10-09 12:39Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?BUY0.55$2.75
10-09 10:34Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?BUY0.6$3.00
10-09 10:34Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?BUY0.41$2.05
09-21 09:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.7199999527$3.65
09-21 09:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.75$3.75
09-21 09:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.26$1.30
06-06 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.2899998666$1.00
06-06 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.3299997822$1.00
06-06 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.75$1.00
06-06 06:49Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
06-06 06:05Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.54$1.00
06-06 03:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00