PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x68ed888779c199f922d94630f17ee091de68f109

0x68ed888779c199f922d94630f17ee091de68f109

Realised P&L
$-4.03
Volume
$102.98
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$4.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.945$2.23+$0.74
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3100.500$1.61+$0.61
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.6300.655$1.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:47Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-05 00:42Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-01 18:20SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-01 08:56S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-26 10:28Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?BUY0.4$1.00
09-25 14:11WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.75$1.00
09-25 03:29Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$1.00
09-24 15:57Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-24 07:56Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.8$1.49
09-23 11:55Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?BUY0.719999884$1.49
09-17 11:38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.6599999291$1.49
09-17 01:16Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.7699999742$1.49
09-16 05:15Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.4$1.49
09-15 20:50Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3299999646$1.49
09-11 06:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.32$1.49