0x68ed888779c199f922d94630f17ee091de68f109
0x68ed888779c199f922d94630f17ee091de68f109
- Realised P&L
- $-4.03
- Volume
- $102.98
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $4.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.945 | $2.23 | +$0.74 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.500 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.655 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.99at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.61at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.86at 0.450Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?
- +$1.52at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:42 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:28 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:29 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:56 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 11:55 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999884 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 11:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999291 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 01:16 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.7699999742 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 05:15 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.49 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3299999646 | $1.49 |
| 09-11 06:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.49 |