PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

supermeis

0x68dab425a3a85286042c9f4f2b562bff334dee5b

Realised P&L
$42.94
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$65.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1200.099$20.52−$4.48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1010.055$10.91−$9.09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.015$10.36+$0.36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2530.220$8.68−$1.32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0440.034$7.69−$2.31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.017$5.14+$0.78
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.0940.029$1.52−$3.48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0490.004$0.36−$4.64
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 00:14Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.035$5.00
10-31 00:13Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
10-16 01:06Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.1698113176$5.00
08-21 22:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-21 22:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
08-11 23:52Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?BUY0.0938273419$5.00
08-08 03:31Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.059999989$5.00
07-23 00:00Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0139999968$4.36
07-22 23:59Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0139999986$10.00
07-18 22:48France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.072$3.30
07-18 22:25France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.217999986$10.00
07-14 22:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.32$20.00
07-06 22:33Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.0489539129$5.00
07-05 05:06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
07-05 05:05Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.209999974$5.00