supermeis
0x68dab425a3a85286042c9f4f2b562bff334dee5b
- Realised P&L
- $42.94
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $65.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.82at 0.331Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$24.24at 0.177Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$18.69at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$3.22at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$0.86at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 00:13 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 01:06 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.1698113176 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 23:52 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | BUY | 0.0938273419 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 03:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 00:00 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0139999968 | $4.36 |
| 07-22 23:59 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0139999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.072 | $3.30 |
| 07-18 22:25 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.217999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 22:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 22:33 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0489539129 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 05:06 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 05:05 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |