bunnythumper
0x682ea6355ca71bde419420bcd469ebbdda217655
- Realised P&L
- $-623.69
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $155.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.17at 0.759Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
- +$6.00at 0.500Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$4.23at 0.056Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?
- +$2.87at 0.177Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.48at 0.193Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:39 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.23 |
| 10-06 13:38 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-06 13:37 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.20 |
| 10-06 13:36 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $2.04 |
| 10-06 13:34 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-06 13:32 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.90 |
| 10-06 13:29 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.35 | $42.00 |
| 09-13 14:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.47 | $3.56 |
| 09-13 14:03 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-13 14:02 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $10.50 |
| 09-13 14:00 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.809 | $4.04 |
| 09-13 13:58 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.88 |
| 09-13 13:57 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 5% or more? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.32 |
| 09-13 13:57 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 0%-5%? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.12 |
| 09-13 13:56 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.10 |