PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

circa7

0x682a980bec9c888b2f44f980c8a575734a2d5d02

Realised P&L
$-280.53
Volume
$61.2k
Markets traded
3,471
Open portfolio
$72.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,471
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3050.346$13.86+$1.66
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.150$13.65+$0.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.3700.425$8.50+$1.10
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3400.345$6.90+$0.10
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1650.165$6.58$0.02
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.135$5.40$0.60
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1400.135$5.40$0.20
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.0450.080$3.04+$1.33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0600.068$2.36+$0.27
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.0910.106$2.12+$0.30
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0440.041$1.62$0.14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0230.016$1.46$0.60
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1300.069$1.38$1.22
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.14$5.60
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.165$6.60
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.305$12.20
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.15$6.00
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.15$6.00
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.044$1.76
07-23 02:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.026$1.04
07-23 02:26Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.02$1.02
07-23 01:58Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.15$7.65
07-22 19:45Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.044$1.67
07-22 19:45Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.045$1.71
07-22 19:43Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.045$1.71
07-17 09:56Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.68$34.68
07-17 09:56Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.29$14.79
07-17 09:56Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.02$1.02