circa7
0x682a980bec9c888b2f44f980c8a575734a2d5d02
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $85.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,571
- Open portfolio
- $159.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,571
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.86at 0.028Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$71.37at 0.300Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$70.48at 0.068Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$54.37at 0.038Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$47.72at 0.165Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:47 | Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege | SELL | 0.13 | $2.05 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.54 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.39 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege | SELL | 0.14 | $3.96 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $13.51 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-06 09:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.27 |
| 08-06 09:14 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.36 |
| 08-06 09:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 08-06 09:14 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |