circa7
0x682a980bec9c888b2f44f980c8a575734a2d5d02
- Realised P&L
- $-280.53
- Volume
- $61.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,471
- Open portfolio
- $72.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,471
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.00at 0.027Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$72.42at 0.290Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$70.65at 0.066Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$54.50at 0.035Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$47.99at 0.160Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.165 | $6.60 |
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.305 | $12.20 |
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.76 |
| 07-23 02:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.04 |
| 07-23 02:26 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.02 |
| 07-23 01:58 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.65 |
| 07-22 19:45 | Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.67 |
| 07-22 19:45 | Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.71 |
| 07-22 19:43 | Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.71 |
| 07-17 09:56 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.68 |
| 07-17 09:56 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.79 |
| 07-17 09:56 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.02 |