tonler
0x67fa1fe8df1f12444234401cceb65ae455b612e2
- Realised P&L
- $120.78
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $472.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.21at 0.459Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$4.27at 0.820Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.70at 0.730Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$2.51at 0.669Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.92at 0.808Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2219999997 | $8.87 |
| 10-01 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.55 |
| 10-01 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-30 17:24 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $24.27 |
| 09-15 18:36 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.91 | $46.85 |
| 09-02 13:05 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $50.00 |
| 08-30 11:31 | Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 08-30 11:15 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 13:45 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.819999982 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 13:43 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 13:41 | Will Trump say "Never Seen Anything" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.6499997942 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 13:41 | Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.7599997669 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 13:41 | Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |