PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kikimushka

0x67f9823d183e8327f6b88830bfb082294857aa60

Realised P&L
$-0.85
Volume
$20.9k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$16.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8930.930$3.48+$0.14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7400.969$2.15+$0.51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.989$2.06+$0.06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.966$2.04+$0.22
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.910$1.76+$0.08
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.9790.905$1.75−$0.14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8400.865$1.58+$0.05
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · No0.8900.830$1.47−$0.11
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? · Yes0.9000.001$0.00−$1.68
Washington Huskies vs. Seattle Redhawks · Washington Huskies0.7300.000$0.00−$3.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 9? · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$1.97
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State · Oklahoma State0.8000.000$0.00−$1.94
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$1.69
Pacers vs. Hornets · Hornets0.6100.000$0.00−$1.48
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$1.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 06:42Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?BUY0.9$1.68
10-09 05:52Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?BUY0.9789999912$1.89
09-29 10:14M15 Sibenik: Gabriele Pennaforti vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENBUY0.7899999324$1.52
09-19 11:05Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.8399999845$2.17
09-09 08:20Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake DelaneyBUY0.7699999405$2.07
08-24 09:24Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?BUY0.8899998254$1.58
08-14 11:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.84$1.53
08-07 08:54Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.7199999685$1.83
07-31 09:30Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7399999549$1.64
07-17 06:43Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan StrickerBUY0.6899999831$1.63
07-10 11:30Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699996323$1.68
07-02 14:12Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8659999474$1.68
06-25 15:07Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.8299999375$1.86
06-18 13:36China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099996803$1.48
06-12 12:03Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.8369999972$1.78