Kikimushka
0x67f9823d183e8327f6b88830bfb082294857aa60
- Realised P&L
- $-0.85
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $16.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.26at 0.998Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?
- +$1.48at 0.580Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
- +$1.20at 0.590Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?
- +$1.18at 0.570Oilers vs. Panthers
- +$1.15at 0.590Blues vs. Jets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 06:42 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.68 |
| 10-09 05:52 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999912 | $1.89 |
| 09-29 10:14 | M15 Sibenik: Gabriele Pennaforti vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN | BUY | 0.7899999324 | $1.52 |
| 09-19 11:05 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? | BUY | 0.8399999845 | $2.17 |
| 09-09 08:20 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney | BUY | 0.7699999405 | $2.07 |
| 08-24 09:24 | Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899998254 | $1.58 |
| 08-14 11:33 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.53 |
| 08-07 08:54 | Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.7199999685 | $1.83 |
| 07-31 09:30 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999549 | $1.64 |
| 07-17 06:43 | Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker | BUY | 0.6899999831 | $1.63 |
| 07-10 11:30 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699996323 | $1.68 |
| 07-02 14:12 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8659999474 | $1.68 |
| 06-25 15:07 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999375 | $1.86 |
| 06-18 13:36 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099996803 | $1.48 |
| 06-12 12:03 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.8369999972 | $1.78 |