Ortega-Viru
0x6766ab5ef1b0edb34e7e1fbd87797959bbedb923
- Realised P&L
- $27.27
- Volume
- $42.9k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $119.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.038 | $60.16 | +$10.16 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.966 | $59.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.00at 0.071Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$72.74at 0.060Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$47.05at 0.048Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$46.19at 0.039Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$15.71at 0.054Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:01 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.9769999874 | $60.00 |
| 10-18 09:01 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.9702778101 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 14:26 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.9684189482 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 08:24 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | BUY | 0.9818750339 | $55.00 |
| 10-12 07:27 | Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $55.00 |
| 10-10 09:32 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? | BUY | 0.9834099532 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 11:13 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9872837696 | $55.00 |
| 10-03 11:11 | Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9780940194 | $60.00 |
| 10-02 12:38 | Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.9808234515 | $55.00 |
| 10-02 12:38 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.967 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 12:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.9789999997 | $55.00 |
| 09-30 18:13 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? | BUY | 0.9755122437 | $60.00 |
| 09-29 12:54 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9886286317 | $55.00 |
| 09-29 08:22 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $52.00 |
| 09-28 12:00 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9884069547 | $50.00 |