PolyBot

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Traders

Ortega-Viru

0x6766ab5ef1b0edb34e7e1fbd87797959bbedb923

Realised P&L
$27.27
Volume
$42.9k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$119.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0320.038$60.16+$10.16
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.9770.966$59.29−$0.71
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.9700.000$0.00−$49.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 14:01Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.9769999874$60.00
10-18 09:01Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?BUY0.9702778101$50.00
10-17 14:26Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.9684189482$50.00
10-17 08:24Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?BUY0.9818750339$55.00
10-12 07:27Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.97$55.00
10-10 09:32Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?BUY0.9834099532$50.00
10-07 11:13Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.9872837696$55.00
10-03 11:11Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.9780940194$60.00
10-02 12:38Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.9808234515$55.00
10-02 12:38Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?BUY0.967$50.00
10-02 12:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.9789999997$55.00
09-30 18:13Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?BUY0.9755122437$60.00
09-29 12:54Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9886286317$55.00
09-29 08:22US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.9829999999$52.00
09-28 12:00Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9884069547$50.00