PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Antonie

0x67649e2d5f06b6eeefc3ffe2fccb871686354553

Realised P&L
$-0.94
Volume
$730.79
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$7.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hate That I Made You Love Me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24? · No0.9990.998$1.13−$0.00
Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.9990.997$1.07−$0.00
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 66000? · Yes0.8500.860$1.04+$0.01
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · Yes0.7800.790$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 16? · No0.9990.999$1.01−$0.00
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.5850.584$1.00−$0.00
Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.7000.600$0.88−$0.15
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? · Yes0.9610.804$0.84−$0.16
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.58
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 17 be greater than 2,800,000? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$1.11
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.54
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$0.61
Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 04:25Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.995$3.21
10-15 04:24Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.999$4.30
10-15 04:16Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.6999998641$1.03
10-15 04:15Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.5849999006$1.00
10-15 04:14Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?BUY0.78$1.00
10-15 04:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 16?SELL0.998$6.99
10-15 04:10Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 66000?BUY0.8499997937$1.03
10-15 04:09Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 16?BUY0.999$8.00
10-15 04:09Will "Hate That I Made You Love Me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24?SELL0.997$8.85
10-15 04:06Will "Hate That I Made You Love Me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24?BUY0.999$10.00
10-15 04:06Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?BUY0.9609999962$1.00
06-29 11:26Will the median home value in Chicago be between $351,000 and $354,000 on June 30?SELL0.994$2.95
06-29 11:26Will the median home value in Chicago be between $351,000 and $354,000 on June 30?BUY0.997$4.00
06-29 11:25Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?SELL0.995$4.01
06-29 11:25Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?BUY0.998$5.10