0x6747fCbE4A0aBcf24331AD0329226b1cAD46ef6b-1776350029678
0x6747fcbe4a0abcf24331ad0329226b1cad46ef6b
- Realised P&L
- $-59.31
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $36.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.125 | $18.75 | −$7.25 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.042 | $5.39 | −$23.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.046 | $4.60 | −$9.40 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.039 | $2.34 | −$2.82 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $2.07 | −$2.93 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.055 | $1.62 | −$3.38 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.105 | $1.42 | −$1.71 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.055 | $0.55 | −$1.95 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.34at 0.130US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$6.18at 0.588Will Solana reach $90 in April?
- +$-15.34at 0.102Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$-84.03at 0.285Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 13:21 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $22.33 |
| 04-22 10:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 04-19 11:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 04-19 11:21 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.1034176 | $10.34 |
| 04-19 11:20 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 04-19 00:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |
| 04-17 14:10 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.49 |
| 04-17 08:40 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 04-17 07:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.086 | $5.16 |
| 04-17 07:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | BUY | 0.046 | $3.97 |
| 04-17 07:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | BUY | 0.046 | $3.97 |
| 04-17 02:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 04-17 01:15 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 01:11 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 01:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.0664262948 | $11.17 |