0x671F8e3F130Ff36E1882B2b1c75685b69127b191-1780925775842
0x671f8e3f130ff36e1882b2b1c75685b69127b191
- Realised P&L
- $-84.07
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.44 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.92 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.70 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up | 0.437 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.82at 0.701Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$29.10at 0.884Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 2?
- +$27.13at 0.661Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20?
- +$26.91at 0.482Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$26.83at 0.830Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:11 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 2? | BUY | 0.876 | $219.00 |
| 10-02 12:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.607 | $60.70 |
| 10-02 09:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.62 | $49.60 |
| 10-02 08:07 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-02 06:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-01 19:20 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $21.11 |
| 10-01 18:47 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.437479 | $43.75 |
| 10-01 18:32 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $49.92 |
| 10-01 10:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-01 10:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.09 |
| 10-01 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.37 | $42.55 |
| 10-01 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.69 | $89.28 |
| 09-30 21:43 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $35.58 |
| 09-30 21:26 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $25.32 |