PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xjdong

0x671562f2182bdf83c4a707a63f1803c7a071690f

Realised P&L
$-191.77
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$13.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.1900.195$10.26+$0.26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1870.231$2.47+$0.47
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0900.055$0.61$0.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17? · Yes0.0900.011$0.12$0.88
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16? · Yes0.0210.001$0.02$0.98
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? · Down0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 Croatia? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:57Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
09-14 10:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?SELL0.48$5.28
09-14 08:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
09-12 16:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-12 16:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.32$5.00
09-10 11:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16?BUY0.0207850821$1.00
09-10 11:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?BUY0.16$10.00
09-08 15:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-08 15:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-04 18:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 5?BUY0.023999977$1.00
08-31 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSELL0.82$1.64
08-31 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
08-27 16:21Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 28?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-27 16:21Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on August 28?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-20 08:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00