zalmoon
0x66fefc9f40d3bad95a511cfaec7a8c78fbb534c8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.92
- Volume
- $180.61
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.240 | $12.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.145 | $2.90 | −$2.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.20at 0.340Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.17at 0.510Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?
- +$-1.07at 0.870Rain during the Bahrain Grand Prix?
- +$-1.27at 0.550Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?
- +$-3.60at 0.680Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:54 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.01 |