Zasmes
0x66bec80c9926363db7761c5035bc5f8d3d871148
- Realised P&L
- $380.51
- Volume
- $97.9k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $245.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.16at 0.791Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
- +$55.50at 0.857US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$48.44at 0.811Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$35.53at 0.880US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
- +$34.96at 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:54 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $4.14 |
| 10-04 08:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.99 |
| 10-03 21:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999822 | $4.07 |
| 10-03 20:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.329999988 | $4.14 |
| 10-03 19:39 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $31.43 |
| 10-03 18:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999735 | $5.08 |
| 10-03 16:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.7499999826 | $10.76 |
| 10-03 16:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999514 | $7.99 |
| 10-03 16:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.59 |
| 10-03 12:43 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $13.35 |
| 10-03 11:51 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999927 | $13.04 |
| 10-03 11:49 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $1.50 |
| 10-03 11:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.389999988 | $2.27 |
| 10-03 11:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999729 | $3.30 |
| 10-03 08:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5099999908 | $7.22 |