Jellow2
0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
- Realised P&L
- $150.0k
- Volume
- $6.59M
- Markets traded
- 553
- Open portfolio
- $149.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded553
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.9kat 0.668Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$11.0kat 0.600Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.9kat 0.355Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.5kat 0.855Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.6kat 0.816Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:28 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $5.4k |
| 10-27 22:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.0k |
| 10-27 19:07 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.7k |
| 10-27 19:06 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.0k |
| 10-27 18:49 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 10-25 23:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.888 | $2.2k |
| 10-25 23:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.913 | $912.27 |
| 10-25 22:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6576946095 | $690.58 |
| 10-25 22:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.65 | $2.6k |
| 10-25 21:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.36 | $323.86 |
| 10-25 21:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3199474733 | $131.63 |
| 10-25 20:15 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.5000920889 | $760.27 |
| 10-25 20:15 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.5017615385 | $652.29 |
| 10-25 19:51 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.5602888774 | $173.34 |
| 10-25 19:49 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.5716595417 | $137.20 |