Jellow2
0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
- Realised P&L
- $114.7k
- Volume
- $6.16M
- Markets traded
- 529
- Open portfolio
- $120.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded529
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.355Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.6kat 0.816Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$7.0kat 0.641Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$6.5kat 0.783France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$6.4kat 0.716US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:03 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7566668972 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 17:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 09-16 09:51 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1914706179 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $40.00 |
| 09-11 14:07 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.27 | $769.58 |
| 09-11 14:05 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.986 | $79.87 |
| 09-10 16:19 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.991 | $5.4k |
| 09-09 20:13 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.029 | $73.38 |
| 09-09 14:53 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $616.00 |
| 09-09 13:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.141959322 | $104.69 |
| 09-09 13:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1398418571 | $166.11 |
| 09-08 03:52 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6769980153 | $2.4k |
| 09-08 02:27 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1860211347 | $82.56 |
| 09-07 21:03 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $718.37 |
| 09-07 21:01 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |