PolyBot

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Traders

Jellow2

0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202

Realised P&L
$114.7k
Volume
$6.16M
Markets traded
529
Open portfolio
$120.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded529
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$31.2k+$11.2k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7090.765$16.8k+$1.2k
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9890.995$16.1k+$82.58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3600.553$9.3k+$3.3k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$8.8k$11.2k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7020.695$7.2k$72.46
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8400.605$5.3k$2.1k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4900.595$4.8k+$840.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$4.2k+$25.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8770.935$3.3k+$202.51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4900.590$3.0k+$500.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6550.665$2.7k+$40.01
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2170.385$2.0k+$873.63
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1450.404$1.5k+$949.90
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3300.455$1.4k+$375.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:03Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.7566668972$2.0k
09-16 17:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.86$860.00
09-16 09:51Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.1914706179$1.8k
09-15 21:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$40.00
09-11 14:07Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.27$769.58
09-11 14:05Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.986$79.87
09-10 16:19Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.991$5.4k
09-09 20:13Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.029$73.38
09-09 14:53Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.28$616.00
09-09 13:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.141959322$104.69
09-09 13:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1398418571$166.11
09-08 03:52Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6769980153$2.4k
09-08 02:27Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.1860211347$82.56
09-07 21:03Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.57$718.37
09-07 21:01Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.59$5.90