83offwrf
0x663b5de4c77ce13d0837a7b280d642b4786f67be
- Realised P&L
- $344.48
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $24.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No | 0.715 | 0.705 | $7.2k | −$103.03 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.845 | 0.840 | $6.4k | −$38.11 |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.973 | $4.8k | +$35.32 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.643 | 0.630 | $2.6k | −$51.51 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.880 | $909.38 | +$0.00 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No | 0.811 | 0.875 | $857.69 | +$62.81 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.985 | $819.38 | −$0.14 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.820 | $808.56 | +$30.86 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $291.41 | −$2.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.90at 0.814T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies
- +$190.00at 0.810Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:26 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 09-16 23:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $240.33 |
| 09-16 23:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $66.35 |
| 09-16 23:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.36 |
| 09-16 19:32 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $864.50 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $57.04 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $479.46 |
| 09-16 18:08 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $99.35 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $93.00 |
| 09-16 00:17 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-15 23:41 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.94 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $58.59 |
| 09-15 17:13 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $106.23 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $90.19 |