PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

83offwrf

0x663b5de4c77ce13d0837a7b280d642b4786f67be

Realised P&L
$344.48
Volume
$34.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$24.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7150.705$7.2k$103.03
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8450.840$6.4k$38.11
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9650.973$4.8k+$35.32
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6430.630$2.6k$51.51
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8800.880$909.38+$0.00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.8110.875$857.69+$62.81
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9850.985$819.38$0.14
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7890.820$808.56+$30.86
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.5400.535$291.41$2.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:26Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.63$31.50
09-16 23:07Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.54$240.33
09-16 23:06Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.63$66.35
09-16 23:06Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.63$12.36
09-16 19:32StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.88$864.50
09-16 18:56Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$57.04
09-16 18:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.988$479.46
09-16 18:08Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.974$99.35
09-16 18:06Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.62$93.00
09-16 00:17Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.53$2.65
09-15 23:41Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$4.94
09-15 23:11Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.63$58.59
09-15 17:13Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$106.23
09-15 17:10Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$41.00
09-15 17:10Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$90.19