83offwrf
0x663b5de4c77ce13d0837a7b280d642b4786f67be
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $110.0k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $35.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$970.48at 0.657Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$677.64at 0.666Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
- +$220.90at 0.814T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies
- +$190.00at 0.810Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$163.44at 0.912Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 20:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $41.10 |
| 11-01 19:56 | Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $148.47 |
| 11-01 19:54 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91196 | $569.98 |
| 11-01 19:54 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.908 | $96.25 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $10.44 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $43.09 |
| 10-30 16:24 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 15:46 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.6k |
| 10-30 15:43 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6346113586 | $203.70 |
| 10-30 15:39 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.9 | $195.37 |
| 10-30 15:05 | Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 10-29 02:28 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 10-28 15:31 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7285996745 | $85.05 |
| 10-28 12:40 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | SELL | 0.35 | $102.63 |