PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

83offwrf

0x663b5de4c77ce13d0837a7b280d642b4786f67be

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$110.0k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$35.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7330.795$9.4k+$731.87
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8470.865$8.2k+$171.57
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9300.940$3.6k+$37.91
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8500.835$2.9k−$51.06
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.9200.955$1.5k+$55.28
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7490.706$1.4k−$84.30
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.6250.630$1.1k+$9.78
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9060.936$1.1k+$33.56
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5590.783$1.0k+$286.15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.8110.910$887.86+$96.76
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8090.850$860.05+$41.15
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.9110.936$684.58+$18.36
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8200.850$513.14+$18.00
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7550.770$458.20+$8.62
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9200.936$381.47+$6.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:56Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.9$27.00
11-01 20:56Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.9$41.10
11-01 19:56Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$148.47
11-01 19:54Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.91196$569.98
11-01 19:54Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.908$96.25
11-01 19:52Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.87$10.44
11-01 19:51Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$43.09
10-30 16:24Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.83$1.5k
10-30 15:46Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.79$1.6k
10-30 15:431win FDV above $45M one day after launch?SELL0.6346113586$203.70
10-30 15:39Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?SELL0.9$195.37
10-30 15:05Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.9$54.00
10-29 02:28Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.66$198.00
10-28 15:31Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.7285996745$85.05
10-28 12:40Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?SELL0.35$102.63