0xf49E055B56D2797319CaB6Bc71D5D17E3fd806D9-1768986344586
0x662d2de7b6eb00f8361fd6b1bda6c691840015d7
- Realised P&L
- $377.15
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.47at 0.092Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.908Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.43at 0.920Exact Score: NK Celje 3 - 1 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- +$0.38at 0.929Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:10 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.9116928828 | $4.98 |
| 07-29 05:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 07-28 20:23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 15:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.28 |
| 07-28 14:55 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0161289199 | $13.89 |
| 07-28 14:53 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.896 | $80.64 |
| 07-28 14:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.38 |
| 07-28 14:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.03 |
| 07-28 14:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.893 | $26.79 |
| 07-28 06:26 | Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9079998473 | $4.97 |
| 07-28 04:47 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.682 | $272.80 |
| 07-27 17:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.682 | $231.88 |
| 07-27 15:50 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 07-27 15:07 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.37 | $170.26 |
| 07-27 15:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.682 | $30.61 |