0x662a03222026510e7A5Ac3C69eAEf1CBBb66F9b7-1771825152473
0x662a03222026510e7a5ac3c69eaef1cbbb66f9b7
- Realised P&L
- $-343.75
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $35.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.27at 0.461Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$58.22at 0.355Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
- +$34.24at 0.111Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$22.45at 0.253Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
- +$17.50at 0.300Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:23 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0459999996 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 01:21 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 06-15 20:16 | Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 06-13 22:21 | Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 18:19 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 06-08 13:28 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 13:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 06-01 23:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 05-30 04:48 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.255 | $1.27 |
| 05-29 18:52 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.186 | $0.93 |
| 05-29 18:49 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.167 | $0.84 |
| 05-29 16:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 05-29 14:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 05-29 12:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 05-29 09:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |