PuddingPower
0x66242727a39d0eaaa52aae23d35bcba4c52db89a
- Realised P&L
- $-56.69
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $75.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.077 | $48.14 | −$51.86 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.160 | $25.93 | −$14.06 |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.190 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.79at 0.467Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$5.14at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$4.62at 0.607Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$3.04at 0.159Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.41at 0.557Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.06 |
| 08-06 05:36 | Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 22:03 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999758 | $7.00 |
| 07-15 18:56 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3449999137 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 23:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:19 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.327 | $6.17 |
| 07-07 16:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.18 |
| 07-04 23:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.72 |
| 07-02 18:48 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:48 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7274998399 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:48 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.585 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 05:21 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 05:21 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 05:21 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |