themonkeyonyourback
0x6614ebc817ab3b0d45a51edae45bc3a66c29a097
- Realised P&L
- $-86.72
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $58.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.015 | $58.94 | +$25.44 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21? · No | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.01at 0.155Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.820Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
- +$-5.61at 0.313Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
- +$-11.99at 0.004Ethereum above $3,700 on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:03 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0060988584 | $9.50 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0070516454 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 17:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0128585173 | $14.00 |
| 09-14 17:47 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0099038139 | $4.72 |
| 09-09 05:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0868286655 | $41.39 |
| 09-07 17:58 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 06:23 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1299250266 | $122.59 |
| 09-07 06:22 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $132.01 |
| 09-05 18:14 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1039999987 | $63.51 |
| 09-05 18:06 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.10215848 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 20:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1763105418 | $55.88 |
| 09-03 19:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.2062332376 | $65.36 |
| 09-03 19:42 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999988 | $95.08 |
| 07-20 15:26 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21? | BUY | 0.0128134864 | $6.87 |
| 07-15 19:16 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.84 |