0x65E02579354c0f01AfAA4E106aB871889DFCABF1-1780256122626
0x65e02579354c0f01afaa4e106ab871889dfcabf1
- Realised P&L
- $466.84
- Volume
- $328.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $612.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.945 | $203.23 | +$3.23 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.686 | 0.785 | $145.27 | +$18.27 |
| Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? · No | 0.804 | 0.790 | $82.51 | −$1.49 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? · No | 0.749 | 0.768 | $61.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? · Yes | 0.893 | 0.925 | $51.81 | +$1.81 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No | 0.779 | 0.685 | $36.52 | −$5.03 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · No | 0.847 | 0.879 | $31.16 | +$1.16 |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$738.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.325Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$696.25at 0.013Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$570.59at 0.586Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$488.70at 0.656Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$20.39at 0.672Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:11 | Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 17:11 | Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | BUY | 0.7069999871 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 17:09 | Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | BUY | 0.809999998 | $24.00 |
| 10-30 17:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.72 | $19.11 |
| 10-30 15:50 | Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 15:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.72 | $19.89 |
| 10-30 15:09 | Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.8449999662 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 15:01 | Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | BUY | 0.8003952544 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 14:58 | Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | BUY | 0.7579999964 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 14:55 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.75 | $25.56 |
| 10-30 14:54 | Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.8926800237 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 14:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999956 | $39.00 |
| 10-30 14:48 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.75 | $68.21 |
| 10-29 12:23 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.729999976 | $17.00 |
| 10-29 12:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |