jackfaleman
0x65ab0bf5c363ceeb042248f3ed58d5156a410a76
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $67.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.30at 0.189U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$44.70at 0.487Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$34.50at 0.182Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$32.63at 0.156Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$18.02at 0.200MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6292 | $15.73 |
| 07-30 15:55 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.1888708258 | $18.00 |
| 07-30 15:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 14:46 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.0232592593 | $1.12 |
| 07-22 15:22 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0459999957 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 15:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.28 | $38.18 |
| 07-22 10:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 07-22 10:26 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 07-22 10:09 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $80.00 |
| 07-20 18:40 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 18:19 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? | BUY | 0.475999981 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:59 | Argentina to score first vs. Spain? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2524999648 | $5.00 |