PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jackfaleman

0x65ab0bf5c363ceeb042248f3ed58d5156a410a76

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$67.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2400.200$16.67$3.33
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2590.215$16.55$3.37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes0.2300.230$11.50+$0.00
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.080$8.00$2.00
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0510.017$6.49$13.53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0640.021$4.18$8.82
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0200.023$2.90+$0.38
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.019$0.97$9.03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1300.036$0.56$1.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$77.99
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? · Yes0.4760.000$0.00$5.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$26.00
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4? · No0.2050.000$0.00$846.78
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$5.00
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes · Golden Knights0.4100.000$0.00$10.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 18:56Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.6292$15.73
07-30 15:55U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.1888708258$18.00
07-30 15:03Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8$20.00
07-30 14:46Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0232592593$1.12
07-22 15:22Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0459999957$10.00
07-22 15:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.28$38.18
07-22 10:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.2199999949$30.00
07-22 10:26Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.5$9.00
07-22 10:09Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.32$80.00
07-20 18:40Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
07-20 18:19Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?BUY0.475999981$5.00
07-19 21:59Argentina to score first vs. Spain?BUY0.001$1.00
07-19 21:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0025$1.00
07-19 19:09Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.529999965$5.00
07-19 19:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2524999648$5.00