0x65a7b05152e1f032baed3413ec7a34d9a8ada216
0x65a7b05152e1f032baed3413ec7a34d9a8ada216
- Realised P&L
- $-838.31
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $913.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.886 | 1.000 | $410.59 | +$46.76 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.871 | 1.000 | $258.79 | +$33.25 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.599 | 0.429 | $143.43 | −$56.57 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.042 | $58.56 | −$61.44 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.088 | $32.52 | −$87.48 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $9.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$471.81at 0.550Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?
- +$348.20at 0.147Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$318.44at 0.687Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
- +$172.91at 0.470Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$170.99at 0.505France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 07:37 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 20:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.0344845163 | $74.18 |
| 10-03 15:40 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5988951917 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 00:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | SELL | 0.0058550082 | $1.65 |
| 09-28 00:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.03 |
| 09-28 00:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.19 |
| 09-28 00:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.31 |
| 09-20 16:20 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 18:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 18:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 11:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 11:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $70.00 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | SELL | 0.3635414945 | $61.59 |
| 09-12 19:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 13:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |