0x65a7b05152e1f032baed3413ec7a34d9a8ada216
- Realised P&L
- $-567.19
- Volume
- $33.8k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? · No | 0.538 | 0.725 | $761.11 | +$196.11 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.886 | 0.996 | $409.15 | +$45.33 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.871 | 0.976 | $252.58 | +$27.04 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? · No | 0.484 | 0.645 | $226.52 | +$56.52 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.042 | $90.34 | −$29.66 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.055 | $77.61 | −$42.39 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.240 | $67.62 | −$22.38 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? · Yes | 0.593 | 0.145 | $37.18 | −$114.82 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.085 | $36.98 | −$89.25 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.045 | $24.85 | −$52.56 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.065 | $23.88 | −$96.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.20at 0.147Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$318.44at 0.687Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
- +$172.91at 0.470Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$170.99at 0.505France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$169.68at 0.333Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 18:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 11:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 11:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $70.00 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | SELL | 0.3635414945 | $61.59 |
| 09-12 19:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 13:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 13:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.2470059869 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 17:59 | Manchester United FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 17:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 16:10 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5079999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 12:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September? | BUY | 0.173334292 | $27.42 |
| 09-01 12:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September? | BUY | 0.1973126024 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 12:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? | BUY | 0.2329192547 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 12:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |