Kryptobro
0x65a14f56a63e4f5a61585f7e56beead35d0de41a
- Realised P&L
- $-79.18
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $18.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.160 | $13.91 | −$6.09 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.215 | $4.61 | −$1.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.91at 0.703Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$15.00at 0.400Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$13.48at 0.690France debt downgrade by December 31?
- +$13.02at 0.430Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$12.20at 0.470US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 15:49 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 19:33 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 19:32 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 03-28 00:45 | Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 00:45 | Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 00:44 | Will Oman strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.045853637 | $2.00 |
| 03-28 00:44 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 03-28 00:43 | Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 03-28 00:43 | Will UK strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 03-28 00:42 | Will France strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0590000019 | $2.00 |
| 03-08 15:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 19:36 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 19:28 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999891 | $10.82 |
| 01-27 20:21 | Will Trump say "Hog" during Iowa speech? | BUY | 0.792864222 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 20:20 | Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |