NedStark
0x659a532ceac28a0a4af3994ee89d333ed2e69568
- Realised P&L
- $954.55
- Volume
- $730.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $79.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.95at 0.006Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$116.61at 0.054Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$103.49at 0.100Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$80.59at 0.004Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$46.15at 0.004Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-16 22:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-16 22:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.21 |
| 09-16 22:27 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.77 |
| 09-16 02:26 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | BUY | 0.051 | $5.10 |
| 09-06 01:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-06 01:38 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.424 | $4.24 |
| 09-06 01:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 01:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 09-06 01:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-06 01:26 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:38 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.353 | $1.76 |
| 09-01 02:34 | Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.29 |
| 08-31 18:47 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.23 |
| 08-31 15:25 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |