PolyBot

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Traders

NedStark

0x659a532ceac28a0a4af3994ee89d333ed2e69568

Realised P&L
$954.55
Volume
$730.1k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$79.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2690.495$17.32+$7.92
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.009$14.27$9.04
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.0540.051$11.72$0.89
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes0.3340.457$9.37+$2.52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.2700.305$9.15+$1.05
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.002$4.50$0.69
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$4.37$16.84
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3460.360$3.60+$0.14
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$2.00$7.75
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$1.96$10.23
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.001$0.89$8.23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0090.005$0.74$0.47
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$11.80
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$4.74
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.31$3.10
09-16 22:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.46$4.60
09-16 22:29Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.009$1.21
09-16 22:27Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$1.77
09-16 02:26Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.051$5.10
09-06 01:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$2.50
09-06 01:38Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?BUY0.424$4.24
09-06 01:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.25$5.00
09-06 01:36Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.13$3.90
09-06 01:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.14$4.20
09-06 01:26Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$1.00
09-04 21:38Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.353$1.76
09-01 02:34Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$1.29
08-31 18:47Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.01$3.23
08-31 15:25Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.16$3.20