NedStark
0x659a532ceac28a0a4af3994ee89d333ed2e69568
- Realised P&L
- $927.44
- Volume
- $578.6k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $218.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.62at 0.054Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$81.39at 0.075Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$47.04at 0.004Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$25.08at 0.009Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$24.90at 0.066Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:41 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 11:40 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.075 | $5.25 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 14:00 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 14:00 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $8.10 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.40 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.40 |
| 08-01 16:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 08-01 16:13 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.90 |
| 07-31 22:39 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 07-31 22:35 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 07-31 22:34 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 07-31 22:33 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.10 |
| 07-31 22:30 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.20 |