PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NedStark

0x659a532ceac28a0a4af3994ee89d333ed2e69568

Realised P&L
$927.44
Volume
$578.6k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$218.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0880.074$56.87$10.09
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.011$31.43+$9.43
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.003$29.91$49.38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2520.252$19.31$0.01
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.0700.031$18.66$23.55
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.002$11.68$42.39
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.005$10.56$4.30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1920.225$10.13+$1.48
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.003$9.31$1.58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4430.555$8.32+$1.68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1100.125$5.00+$0.60
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$3.75$3.75
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes0.2370.366$3.16+$1.12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$11.80
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$4.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 11:41Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$2.10
08-03 11:40Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.075$5.25
08-03 03:40Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.007$1.40
08-02 14:00Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.009$0.40
08-02 14:00Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.009$8.10
08-02 13:59Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.009$5.40
08-02 13:59Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.009$5.40
08-01 16:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.07$2.80
08-01 16:13Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.07$4.90
07-31 22:39Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$1.50
07-31 22:35Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$1.50
07-31 22:34Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.006$0.60
07-31 22:33Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$2.00
07-31 22:32Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$2.10
07-31 22:30Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$5.20