ThePhysio
0x6562b4abb95615a4174bdcc272a5e0e3091d29a4
- Realised P&L
- $-111.23
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $42.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.12at 0.160Will Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$11.77at 0.895Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$10.67at 0.150Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- +$8.41at 0.640Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?
- +$7.88at 0.388Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 19:28 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 22) | BUY | 0.8299999917 | $7.00 |
| 02-15 19:27 | ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 02-15 19:27 | ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 02-15 19:24 | Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser? | BUY | 0.243902439 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 19:24 | Will JD Vance say "Midterm" during the fundraiser? | BUY | 0.3501945261 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 19:24 | Will JD Vance say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" during the fundraiser? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 02-15 19:23 | Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser? | BUY | 0.2403846154 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 19:23 | Will JD Vance's fundraiser not air? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 19:23 | Will JD Vance say "Midterm" during the fundraiser? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 02-15 19:22 | Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 02-15 19:18 | Will Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.99596 | $31.12 |
| 02-15 19:18 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.41 |
| 02-15 13:18 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 02-10 13:53 | Will Leavitt say "Olympics" or "Women's Sports" during the next press briefing? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 02-10 13:53 | Will Leavitt say "Ideology" during the next press briefing? | BUY | 0.2655737124 | $3.00 |