PolyBot

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Traders

ThePhysio

0x6562b4abb95615a4174bdcc272a5e0e3091d29a4

Realised P&L
$-111.23
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$42.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.2610.170$7.81−$4.19
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.8100.935$6.93+$0.93
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9660.993$5.14+$0.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.6600.844$5.11+$1.11
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.2300.190$4.13−$0.87
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1000.125$3.75+$0.75
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.1500.064$3.17−$4.33
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.7800.965$2.47+$0.47
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.2500.140$1.40−$1.10
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes0.1980.038$1.34−$5.66
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.2420.065$0.54−$1.46
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$0.44−$1.56
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.00
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-15 19:28Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 22)BUY0.8299999917$7.00
02-15 19:27ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
02-15 19:27ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
02-15 19:24Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser?BUY0.243902439$5.00
02-15 19:24Will JD Vance say "Midterm" during the fundraiser?BUY0.3501945261$5.00
02-15 19:24Will JD Vance say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" during the fundraiser?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
02-15 19:23Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser?BUY0.2403846154$5.00
02-15 19:23Will JD Vance's fundraiser not air?BUY0.64$1.00
02-15 19:23Will JD Vance say "Midterm" during the fundraiser?BUY0.3499999475$3.00
02-15 19:22Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
02-15 19:18Will Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.99596$31.12
02-15 19:18Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?SELL0.999$23.41
02-15 13:18Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?BUY0.64$15.00
02-10 13:53Will Leavitt say "Olympics" or "Women's Sports" during the next press briefing?BUY0.75$5.00
02-10 13:53Will Leavitt say "Ideology" during the next press briefing?BUY0.2655737124$3.00