0x65484B65936FAe40b0d4982479b29320b85E9108-1744200090360
0x65484b65936fae40b0d4982479b29320b85e9108
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $133.1k
- Markets traded
- 812
- Open portfolio
- $240.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded812
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.45at 0.361Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
- +$82.34at 0.860Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 16?
- +$75.35at 0.329Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$69.88at 0.893Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?
- +$67.61at 0.769Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.12 |
| 09-29 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-29 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.23 | $10.44 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.68 |
| 09-27 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 09-27 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.29 |
| 09-25 11:56 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0021023125 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.47 |
| 09-23 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-22 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.54 |
| 09-21 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 09-21 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 09-19 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-17 22:11 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |