ChristopherBruce4130
0x6546d2c70dfd6eb89ea7135a05b220a5368dc454
- Realised P&L
- $643.16
- Volume
- $180.5k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $62.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI | 0.440 | 0.060 | $36.96 | −$234.08 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.045 | $26.01 | −$118.49 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$802.26at 0.240Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
- +$312.66at 0.730Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
- +$258.25at 0.750Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
- +$244.03at 0.230Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?
- +$241.98at 0.200Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 07:56 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $708.05 |
| 04-27 07:54 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $351.05 |
| 04-12 20:39 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.47 | $165.44 |
| 04-12 13:26 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.49 | $172.48 |
| 04-12 13:16 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.1k |
| 04-11 18:18 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.8 | $423.20 |
| 04-11 18:16 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.79 | $108.23 |
| 04-11 05:46 | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $592.54 |
| 04-11 05:45 | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $43.86 |
| 04-10 22:20 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | BUY | 0.73 | $486.18 |
| 04-09 11:36 | Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $98.25 |
| 04-09 11:01 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.379 | $31.46 |
| 04-09 10:59 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.379 | $202.77 |
| 04-09 09:31 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $507.36 |
| 04-07 16:39 | Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.87 | $458.49 |