PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GeronimoXBT

0x6544f4e61232c5326e53d4aa3bbdbd84b335c0f8

Realised P&L
$9.00
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$796.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 23:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.8$18.14
09-11 09:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.219633942$30.00
09-11 09:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.8$31.82
09-09 22:54Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?BUY0.315654321$15.98
09-09 22:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$16.25
08-20 11:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.6599999999$525.00
07-18 10:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.401$22.28
06-24 07:28Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9099999945$125.00
06-21 13:24Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?SELL0.965$70.28
06-21 13:23Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?SELL0.986$54.77
06-04 08:55Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6299999764$4.00
06-04 08:54Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3$4.84
06-03 21:41Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.5$13.84
06-03 21:40Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
06-03 21:39Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999929$10.00