GeronimoXBT
0x6544f4e61232c5326e53d4aa3bbdbd84b335c0f8
- Realised P&L
- $9.00
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $796.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.25at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$25.25at 0.180Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$16.47at 0.092Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.00at 0.210Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
- +$10.98at 0.820Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 23:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $18.14 |
| 09-11 09:33 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.219633942 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 09:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $31.82 |
| 09-09 22:54 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.315654321 | $15.98 |
| 09-09 22:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $16.25 |
| 08-20 11:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999999 | $525.00 |
| 07-18 10:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.401 | $22.28 |
| 06-24 07:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999945 | $125.00 |
| 06-21 13:24 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | SELL | 0.965 | $70.28 |
| 06-21 13:23 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $54.77 |
| 06-04 08:55 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |
| 06-04 08:54 | Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.84 |
| 06-03 21:41 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5 | $13.84 |
| 06-03 21:40 | Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 21:39 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999929 | $10.00 |