0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009
0x6528e4dfae95b1a096c3cce287fb44c96c802006
- Realised P&L
- $434.21
- Volume
- $220.51
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar196.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.210Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.350Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2?
- +$20.00at 0.480Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?
- +$16.38at 0.172Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?
- +$5.04at 0.140Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 02:02 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 3? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.77 |
| 10-02 00:50 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6? | BUY | 0.7275443229 | $19.29 |
| 10-02 00:37 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $127.05 |