PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x65197c45338be64c5c15adda01809b4b46e0be46

Realised P&L
$0.61
Volume
$253.65
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$6.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4400.500$2.27+$0.27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.8000.835$2.09+$0.09
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · No0.6100.575$1.89$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:44Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-17 13:02Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-17 04:03Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-16 08:01S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.6299998362$2.00
09-16 00:00Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
09-15 03:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-13 19:11Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
09-13 05:37Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-12 16:18Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-09 13:55Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
09-09 05:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-07 20:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-07 11:15Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
09-03 16:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
09-02 06:14Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?BUY0.299999925$2.00