0x65197c45338be64c5c15adda01809b4b46e0be46
- Realised P&L
- $0.61
- Volume
- $253.65
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.500 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.835 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · No | 0.610 | 0.575 | $1.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.258Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth 25%-29%?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:02 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:03 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 08:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 05:37 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 13:55 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 05:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:15 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 16:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 06:14 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |