zetbetter
0x65126a59485f1457a945929bc353611e0a805291
- Realised P&L
- $17.9k
- Volume
- $910.3k
- Markets traded
- 729
- Open portfolio
- $32.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded729
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.672Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.1kat 0.763Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$2.8kat 0.5632025 January hottest on record?
- +$2.2kat 0.849Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.8kat 0.561Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 11:47 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 10-29 00:54 | Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.25 | $21.00 |
| 10-29 00:53 | Will the Louisiana 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | BUY | 0.8259999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-29 00:48 | Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 10-29 00:33 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 10-28 22:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 10-28 22:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.499 | $748.50 |
| 10-28 22:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-28 02:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4499999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-27 22:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 10-27 21:15 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.37 | $110.88 |
| 10-27 20:08 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.14 | $84.00 |
| 10-27 20:06 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.29 |
| 10-27 18:10 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 10-27 13:13 | Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |