PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x650cfd020ed0f18de9d6a1a71d4437684fcbe24e

Realised P&L
$-37.88
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$33.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5990.543$22.68$2.32
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1250.167$9.29+$2.29
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? · Yes0.2360.112$0.47$0.53
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? · Yes0.1900.080$0.42$0.58
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0920.036$0.39$0.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 08:22Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.5990210653$25.00
08-27 08:21Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
08-22 15:57Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-22 15:57Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?BUY0.2359998272$1.00
08-22 15:53Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0919999183$1.00
08-22 15:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?BUY0.05$1.00
08-22 15:49Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.0157635468$1.00
08-22 07:47Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0706326467$1.00
08-22 07:44Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-22 07:44Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
08-22 07:44Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0044951901$1.00
08-22 07:44Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0056106172$1.00
07-16 13:24Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.1254444453$7.00
07-16 13:21Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0035101556$1.85
07-16 12:20Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0189999963$5.00