RiskyWhisky
0x64df1adc2bf84d3212d04db134d3c0a9a30eab80
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 5,912
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,912
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.156Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.375Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.460U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$888.23at 0.793US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
- +$863.57at 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 22:16 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 21:56 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.66 |
| 10-01 21:54 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.5 | $18.41 |
| 09-29 14:25 | Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.38 |
| 09-29 11:24 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.949 | $63.58 |
| 09-29 09:58 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 09-29 09:58 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.03 |
| 09-29 09:58 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 09-24 14:31 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.9804620611 | $137.10 |
| 09-24 14:31 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.9776363636 | $80.65 |
| 09-24 08:48 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1589047087 | $61.15 |
| 09-23 20:49 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.8016681265 | $1.6k |
| 09-23 20:43 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $436.57 |
| 09-23 20:40 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.6888691407 | $392.24 |
| 09-22 14:47 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | SELL | 0.5 | $50.00 |