0x64D5B4b9417fea425CBCc85Ad3059D31c4f8abbB-1767866680620
0x64d5b4b9417fea425cbcc85ad3059d31c4f8abbb
- Realised P&L
- $10.44
- Volume
- $576.83
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $48.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.735 | $22.05 | +$2.25 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims) · Ismael Bonfim | 0.600 | 0.505 | $15.99 | −$3.01 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.500 | $10.31 | −$9.69 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 11? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on September 9? · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.33at 0.559UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)
- +$6.01at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?
- +$3.37at 0.602UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$2.94at 0.410Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?
- +$2.54at 0.490Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 22:04 | UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5999999937 | $19.00 |
| 10-03 21:56 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 21:47 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $39.32 |
| 10-01 17:35 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:12 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 05:48 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.50 |
| 09-29 06:56 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5399999933 | $8.00 |
| 09-25 14:33 | UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 16:20 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 02-09 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-09 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SELL | 0.85 | $10.20 |
| 02-08 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BUY | 0.49 | $5.88 |
| 02-06 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 02-04 20:12 | Solana Up or Down on February 5? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 02-04 17:09 | Solana Up or Down on February 5? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |