Jscob
0x64c94eb03b26ae0211b28201b7f622eb385c7099
- Realised P&L
- $-9.42
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.275 | $2.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.022 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Up | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.78at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET
- +$1.08at 0.011Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$0.29at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$0.22at 0.896Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $0.55 |
| 10-03 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $0.94 |
| 10-03 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $1.32 |
| 10-03 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $1.07 |
| 10-03 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 10-02 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $1.03 |
| 10-02 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $1.09 |
| 10-02 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |